## Return to Murrey Math |

- Murrey Math is a trading system for all equities. This includes stocks,
bonds, futures (index, commodities, and currencies), and options. The
main assumption in Murrey Math is that all markets behave in the same
manner (i.e. All markets are traded by a mob and hence have similar
characteristics.). The Murrey Math trading system is primarily based
upon the observations made by W.D. Gann in the first half of the 20'th
century. While Gann was purported to be a brilliant trader in any
market his techniques have been regarded as complex and difficult to
implement. The great contribution of Murrey Math (T. H. Murrey) was
the creation of a system of geometry that can be used to describe
market price movements in time. This geometry facilitates the use of
Gann's trading techniques.
- The Murrey Math trading system is composed of two main components; the
geometry used to gauge the price movements of a given market and a set
of rules that are based upon Gann and Japanese candlestick formations.
The Murrey Math system is not a crystal ball, but when implemented
properly, it can have predictive capabilities. Because the Murrey Math
rules are tied to the Murrey Math geometry, a trader can expect certain
pre-defined behaviors in price movement. By recognizing these behaviors,
a trader has greatly improved odds of being on the correct side of a
trade. The overiding principle of the Murrey Math trading system
is to recognize the trend of a market, trade with the trend, and exit
the trade quickly with a profit (since trends are fleeting). In short,
"No one ever went broke taking a profit".
- The Murrey Math geometry mentioned above is "elegant in its simplicity".
Murrey describes it by saying, "This is a perfect mathematical fractal
trading system". An understanding of the concept of a fractal is
important in understanding the foundation of Murrey Math. For readers
interested in knowing more about fractals I would recommend the first
100 pages of the book,"The Science of Fractal Images" edited by
Heinz-Otto Peitgen and Dietmar Saupe. The book was published by
Springer-Verlag, copyright 1988. An in depth understanding of fractals
requires more than "8'th grade math", but an in depth understanding is
not necessary (just looking at the diagrams can be useful).
- The size (scale) of basic geometric shapes are characterized by one or
two parameters. The scale of a circle is specified by its diameter, the
scale of a square is given by the length of one of its sides, and the
scale of a triangle is specified by the length of its three sides. In
contrast, a fractal is a self similar shape that is independent of
scale or scaling. Fractals are constructed by repeating a process
over and over. Consider the following example depicted in Figure 1.
- Suppose some super being could shrink a person down so that their
height was equal to the distance between the points O and P. Suppose
also that this super being drew the large rectangle shown in Figure 1
and sub-divided the large rectangle into four smaller sub-rectangles
using the lines PQ and RS. This super being then places our shrunken
observer at point O. Our observer would look down and see that he/she
is surrounded by four identical rectangles. Now, suppose our super
being repeats the process. Our observer is further shrunk to a height
equal to the distance between the points O' and P'. The super being
then sub-divides the quarter rectangle into four smaller sub-rectangles
using the lines P'Q' and R'S'. Our shrunken observer is then moved to
the point O'. Our observer looks down and sees that he/she is
surrounded by four identical rectangles. The view that is seen from
the point O' is the same as the view that was seen from the point O. In
fact, to the observer, the two scenes observed from the points O and O'
are indistinguishable from each other. If the super being repeated the
process using the points O'', P'', Q'', R'' and S'' the result would be
the same. This process could be repeated ad-infinitum, each time
producing the same results. This collection of sub-divided rectangles
is a fractal. The geometry appears the same at all scales.
P'' P' P ---------------------------------------------------------------- | | | | | |R'' |O'' |S'' | | |-------|-------| | | | | | | | |R' |Q'' | |S' | |---------------|----------------| | | |O' | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |R |Q' |O |S |--------------------------------|-------------------------------| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |Q | ---------------------------------------------------------------- FIGURE 1

- The next question, of course is, "What does a fractal have to do with
trading in equity markets?" Imagine if someone presented you with a
collection of price-time charts of many different equities and indices
from many different markets. Each of these charts have been drawn using
different time scales. Some are intraday, some are daily, and some are
weekly. None of these charts, however, is labeled. Without labels,
could you or anyone else distinguish a daily chart of the Dow from a
weekly chart of IBM, or from an intraday chart of wheat prices. Not
very likely. All of these charts, while not identical, appear to have
the same general appearance. Within a given time period the price moves
some amount, then reverses direction and retraces some of its prior
movement. So, no matter what price-time scales we use for our charts
they all look pretty much the same (just like a fractal). The "sameness"
of these various charts can be formally characterized mathematically
(but this requires more that 8'th grade math and is left as an exercise
to the interested reader).
- Gann was a proponent of "the squaring of price and time", and the use
of trend lines and various geometric angles to study price-time behavior.
Gann also divided price action into eighths. Gann then assigned certain
importance to markets moving along trendlines of some given angle. Gann
also assigned importance to price retracements that were some multiple
of one eigth of some prior price movement. For example, Gann referred to
movement along the 45 degree line on a price-time chart as being
significant. He also assigned great significance to 50% retracements in
the price of a commodity. The question is, "A 45 degree angle measured
relative to what?" "A 50% retracement relative to what prior price?"
- These angle or retracement measurements are made relative to Gann's
square of price and time. Gann's square acted as a coordinate system or
reference frame from which price movement could be measured. The
problem is that as the price of a commodity changes in time, so must
the reference frame we are using to gauge it. How should the square of
price and time (the reference frame) be changed so that angles and
retracements are measured consistently? This question is one of the key
frustrations in trying to implement Gann's methods. One could argue that
Gann recognized the fractal nature of market prices changing in time.
Gann's squaring of price and time, however, did not provide an
objective way of quantifying these market price movements.
- If one could construct a consistent reference frame that allowed price
movement to be measured objectively at all price-time scales, then one
could implement Gann's methods more effectively. This is exactly what
Murrey Math has accomplished.
- The following discussions assume that one has access to the Murrey Math book.

- As mentioned above, Murrey Math has identified a system of reference
frames (coordinate systems) that can be used to objectively gauge price
movement at all price-time scales. Taken collectively, these reference
frames or "squares in time" constitute a fractal. Each square in time
can be thought of as being a part of (1/4) a larger square in time.
Recall the simple example of the fractal described in the introduction
of this paper. Each set of four squares was created by subdividing a
larger square. Unlike a mathematically ideal fractal, we cannot have
infinitely large or small squares in time since we do not get price
data over infinitely large or small time frames. But for all practical
purposes, the Murrey Math squares in time are a fractal.
- Fractals are created by recursiveley (repeatedly) executing a set of
steps or instructions. This is also true of Murrey Math "squares in
time".
- The first step in constructing a square in time for a particular entity
(NOTE: The word "entity" will be used as a shorthand to refer to any
traded equity or derivative such as stocks, commodities, indices, etc.)
is identifying the scale of the smallest square that "controls" the
price movement of that entity. Murrey refers to this as "setting the
rhythm". Murrey defines several scales.
- Let's use the symbol SR to represent the possible values of these
scales (rhythms). SR may take on the values shown below in TABLE 1:
- A larger value of SR could be generated by multiplying the largest value
by 10. Hence, 10 x 100,000 = 1,000,000 would be the next larger scale
factor.
- The choice of SR for a particular entity is dictated by the maximum
value of that entity during the timeframe in question. TABLE 1 defines
the possible choices of SR.
TABLE 1: IF (the max value of AND (the max value of THEN (SR is) the entity is less the entity is than or equal to) greater than) 250,000 25,000 100,000 25,000 2,500 10,000 2,500 250 1,000 250 25 100 25 12.5 12.5 12.5 6.25 12.5 6.25 3.125 6.25 3.125 1.5625 3.125 1.5625 0.390625 1.5625 0.390625 0.0 0.1953125

- The value of SR that is chosen is the smallest value of SR that
"controls" the maximum value of the entity being studied. The word
"controls" in this last statement needs clarification. Consider two
examples.
- EXAMPLE 1)

Suppose the entity being studied is a stock. During the timeframe being considered the maximum value that this stock traded at was 75.00. In this case, the value of SR to be used is 100. (Refer to TABLE 1) - EXAMPLE 2)

Suppose the entity being studied is a stock. During the timeframe being considered the maximum value that this stock traded at was 240.00. In this case, the value of SR to be used is also 100. (Refer to TABLE 1) - In EXAMPLE 2, even though the maximum price of the stock exceeds the value of SR, the stock will still behave as though it is being "controlled" by the SR value of 100. This is because an entity does not take on the characteristics of a larger SR value until the entity's maximum value exceeds 0.25 x the larger SR value. So, in EXAMPLE 2, the lower SR value is 100 and the larger SR value is 1000. Since the price of the stock is 240 the "controlling" SR value is 100 because 240 is less than (.25 x 1000) 250. If the price of the stock was 251 then the value of SR would be 1000. TABLE 1 shows some exceptions to this ".25 rule" for entities priced between 12.5 and 0.0. TABLE 1 takes these exceptions into account.

- Let us now continue constructing the square in time for our entity. The
selection of the correct scale factor SR "sets the rhythm" (as Murrey
would say) for our entity.
- Remember, Gann believed that after an entity has a price movement, that
price movement will be retraced in multiples of 1/8's (i.e. 1/8, 2/8,
3/8, 4/8, 5/8, 6/8, 7/8, 8/8). So, if a stock moved up 4 points Gann
believed the price of the stock would reverse and decline in 1/2 point
(4/8) increments (i.e. 1/2, 2/2, 3/2, 4/2, 5/2, 6/2, 7/2, 8/2 ...).
Since prices move in 1/8's, Murrey Math divides prices into 1/8
intervals. The advantage of Murrey Math is that a "rhythm" (a scale
value SR) for our entity has been identified. Traditional Gann
techniques would have required one to constantly chase price movements
and to try to figure out which movement was significant. If a
significant price movement could be identified then that price movement
would be divided into 1/8's. Murrey Math improves upon traditional Gann
analysis by providing a constant (non-changing) price range to divide
into 1/8's. This constant price range is the value of SR (the "rhythm")
that is chosen for each entity.
- So, having selected a value for SR, Murrey Math instructs us to divide
the value of SR into 1/8's. For the sake of consistency, let's introduce
some notation. Murrey refers to major, minor, and baby Murrey Math
lines. Murrey abbreviates the term "Murrey Math Lines" using MML. Using
the MML abbreviation let;
The symbol: MML be defined as: Any Murrey Math Line

The symbol: MMML be defined as: Major Murrey Math Line

The symbol: mMML be defined as: Minor Murrey Math Line

The symbol: bMML be defined as: Baby Murrey Math Line

and, using the abbreviation MMI to mean "Murrey Math Interval", let;

The symbol: MMI be defined as: Any Murrey Math Interval

The symbol: MMMI be defined as: Major Murrey Math Interval = SR/8

The symbol: mMMI be defined as: Minor Murrey Math Interval = SR/8/8

The symbol: bMMI be defined as: Baby Murrey Math Interval = SR/8/8/8where the symbol /8/8/8 means that SR is to be divided by 8 three times. For example, if SR = 100 then the Baby Murrey Math Interval bMMI is: 100/8/8/8 = 12.5/8/8 = 1.5625/8 = 0.1953125

- Let's also introduce the term octave. An octave consists of a set of
9 Murrey Math Lines (MML's) and the 8 Murrey Math Intervals (MMI's)
associated with the 9 MML's. Major, minor, and baby octaves may be
constructed. For example, if SR = 100 then the major octave is shown
in FIGURE 2. The octave is constructed by first calculating the MMMI.
MMMI = SR/8 = 100/8 = 12.5. The major octave is then simply 8 MMMI's
added together starting at 0. In this case 0 is the base.
100 -------------------------------------------- 8/8 MMML 87.5 -------------------------------------------- 7/8 MMML 75 -------------------------------------------- 6/8 MMML 62.5 -------------------------------------------- 5/8 MMML 50 -------------------------------------------- 4/8 MMML 37.5 -------------------------------------------- 3/8 MMML 25 -------------------------------------------- 2/8 MMML 12.5 -------------------------------------------- 1/8 MMML 0 -------------------------------------------- 0/8 MMML FIGURE 2

- A minor octave is constructed in a manner similar to the method shown
for the major octave. Again, let SR = 100. First calculate the mMMI.
mMMI = SR/8/8 = MMMI/8 = 12.5/8 = 1.5625. The minor octave is then
simply 8 mMMI's added together starting at the desired base. The base
must be a MMML. In this case let the base be the 62.5 MMML. The result
is shown in FIGURE 3.
75 -------------------------------------------- 8/8 mMML 73.4375 -------------------------------------------- 7/8 mMML 71.875 -------------------------------------------- 6/8 mMML 70.3125 -------------------------------------------- 5/8 mMML 68.75 -------------------------------------------- 4/8 mMML 67.1875 -------------------------------------------- 3/8 mMML 65.625 -------------------------------------------- 2/8 mMML 64.0625 -------------------------------------------- 1/8 mMML 62.5 -------------------------------------------- 0/8 mMML FIGURE 3

- Naturally, a baby octave would be constructed using the same method used to construct a minor octave. First calculate bMMI (bMMI = mMMI/8). Then add bMMI to the desired mMML 8 times to complete the octave.

- Since, according to Gann, prices move in 1/8's, these 1/8's act as
points of price support and resistance as an entity's price changes
in time. Given this 1/8 characteristic of price action, Murrey assigns
properties to each of the MML's in an a given octave. These properties
are listed here for convenience.
- 8/8 th's and 0/8 th's Lines (Ultimate Resistance)

These lines are the hardest to penetrate on the way up, and give the greatest support on the way down. (Prices may never make it thru these lines). - 7/8 th's Line (Weak, Stall and Reverse)

This line is weak. If prices run up too far too fast, and if they stall at this line they will reverse down fast. If prices do not stall at this line they will move up to the 8/8 th's line. - 6/8 th's and 2/8 th's Lines (Pivot, Reverse)

These two lines are second only to the 4/8 th's line in their ability to force prices to reverse. This is true whether prices are moving up or down. - 5/8 th's Line (Top of Trading Range)

The prices of all entities will spend 40% of the time moving between the 5/8 th's and 3/8 th's lines. If prices move above the 5/8 th's line and stay above it for 10 to 12 days, the entity is said to be selling at a premium to what one wants to pay for it and prices will tend to stay above this line in the "premium area". If, however, prices fall below the 5/8 th's line then they will tend to fall further looking for support at a lower level. - 4/8 th's Line (Major Support/Resistance)

This line provides the greatest amount of support and resistance. This line has the greatest support when prices are above it and the greatest resistance when prices are below it. This price level is the best level to sell and buy against. - 3/8 th's Line (Bottom of Trading Range)

If prices are below this line and moving upwards, this line is difficult to penetrate. If prices penetrate above this line and stay above this line for 10 to 12 days then prices will stay above this line and spend 40% of the time moving between this line and the 5/8 th's line. - 1/8 th Line (Weak, Stall and Reverse)

This line is weak. If prices run down too far too fast, and if they stall at this line they will reverse up fast. If prices do not stall at this line they will move down to the 0/8 th's line. - Completing the square in time requires the identification of the upper and lower price boundaries of the square. These boundaries must be MML's. The set of all possible MML's that can be used as boundaries for the square were specified with the selection of the scale factor (rhythm) SR. Given SR, all of the possible MMMI's, mMMI's, bMMI's and MMML's, mMML's, and bMML's can be calculated as shown above. The following rules dictate what the lower and upper boundaries of the square in time will be.

- Rule 1:

The lower boundary of the square in time must be an even MML (i.e. 0/8 th's, 2/8 th's, 4/8 th's, 6/8 th's, or 8/8 th's). It may be a MMML, a mMMl, or a bMML. Generally, the lower boundary will be a mMML. - Rule 2:

The MML selected for the bottom of the square in time should be close to the low value of the entity's trading range. The word "close" means that the distance between the square's bottom MML and the low value of the entity should be less than or equal to 4/8 of the next smaller octave.For example, suppose a stock is trading within a range of 28 1/4 to 34 1/2. In this case the value of SR is 100. The MMMI is 12.5 (i.e. 100/8). The next smaller MMI is a mMMI = 12.5/8 = 1.5625. The MMML closest to 28 1/4 is the 2/8 th's (i.e. 2 x 12.5 = 25). The closest mMML (measured from 25) is also a 2/8 th's MML (i.e. 2 x 1.5625 = 3.125). So, the bottom of the square is 25 + 3.125 = 28.125 (i.e. 28 1/8).

The 28 1/8 MML is the base of the square in time. This MML satisfies rule 1 (it is an even numbered line, 2/8 th's) and it is close to 28 1/4 (28 1/4 - 28 1/8 = 1/8 = .125). The result of .125 is less than 4/8 th's of the next smaller octave which is a "baby" octave (bMMI = 1.5625/8 = .1953125). Specifically .125 is less than .78125 (4 x .1953125 = .781254).

- Rule 3:

The height of the square in time must be 2, 4, or 8 MMI's. The type of MMI (major, minor, or baby) must be the same as the type of MML being used for the lower boundary. Generally this will be a mMMI.NOTE: If the bottom MML of the square in time is an even MML, and the top MML of the square in time is 2, 4, or 8 MMI's above the bottom MML, then the top MML is also an even numbered MML.

- Rule 4:

The MML selected for the top of the square in time should be close to the high value of the entity's trading range. The word "close" means that the distance between the square's top MML and the high value of the entity should be less than or equal to 4/8 of the next smaller octave. This is simply rule (2) being applied to the top of the square.For example, consider the same stock trading within the range 28 1/4 to 34 1/2. The base of the square in time was identified as the 2/8 th's mMML 28.125. In this case the top of the square is the mMML that is 4 mMMI's above the base: 28.125 + (4 x 1.5625) = 34.375. This MML can also be shown to be "close" to the high end of the trading range, since, 34.5 - 34.375 = .125 and .125 is less than .781254 (4 x .1953125 = .781254). Recall that .1953125 is the bMMI (i.e. the next smaller octave).

- Exception to Rule 1:

The rule, "The lower boundary of the square in time must be an even MML...", appears to have exceptions. Murrey states, "When a stock is trading in a narrow range rotating near a MMML you may use only 1 line above and below. Since a MMML is always an even MML (a 0 or 8 line for the next smaller octave) then one line above or below would be an odd MML (1 or 7).An example of this can be seen on Chart #91 in Murrey's book. This is a chart of Chase Manhatten. In this case the bottom and top MML's of the square in time are the 5/8 th's and 7/8 th's MML's respectively. These are obviously odd MML's. Another example of an exception is Chart #83 in Murrey's book. In this case the bottom of the square in time is 37.5 (an odd 3/8 th's line) and the top of the square in time is 62.5 (an odd 5/8 th's line).

- Exception to Rules 2, 4:

Rules 2 and 4 address how close the boundaries of the square in time are to the actual trading range of the entity in question. Murrey states;"Then you simply count up 2, 4, or 8 lines, and include the top of its trading range, as long as it's no higher than a) 19, b) 39, c) 78 cents above the 100% line. (there are exceptions where it will run up a full 12.5, or 25 or 50% line above the 100% line and come back down..."

- At this point Murrey leaves us on our own to review the charts. The book
is replete with examples in which the bottom and top MML's of the square
in time are far from the actual trading ranges (by as much as 2 mMMI's).
- Consider the two charts (both are labeled Chart #85) of McDonalds. The
lower chart espcially shows McDonalds trading in a range from 28 to 34.
Clearly, the set of mMML's that would best fit this trading range are
the lines 28.125 (2/8 th's) and 34.375 (6/8 th's). Murrey, however,
draws the square from 25 (0/8 th's) to 31.25 (4/8 th's).
- Given the above rules and exceptions I have developed a set of
"rules of thumb" to assist in the construction of squares in time.
Using these "rules of thumb" I have written a simple C program that
calculates the top and bottom MMLs for squares in time. This offers
a fairly mechanical approach that may prove beneficial to a new Murrey
Math practitioner. Once a Murrey Math neophyte becomes experienced
using this mechanical system he/she may go on to using intuition and
methods that are a little (a lot) less tedious.
- I have tested this program against all of the charts in Murrey's book
and it seems to work fairly well. There are some exceptions/weaknesses
that are discussed below. First, to illustrate the methodology, a few
detailed examples are included here.
- [I have found the source code for Tim's C program. B L Hill]
- Local copy at MMLEvls_VG_mq4.txt
- Web copy at abysse.co.jp (10/10)

- Refer to Chart #85B of First American in the Murrey Math book. During
the time frame in question, First American traded in a range with a low
of about 28.0 and a high of about 35.25 (the wicks on the candlesticks
are ignored).
- Let's define a parameter called PriceRange. PriceRange is simply the
difference between the high and low prices of the trading range.
- STEP 1:

Calculate PriceRange.

PriceRange = 35.25 - 28.0 = 7.25

- STEP 2:

Identify the value of SR (the scale factor).Murrey refers to this as "setting the rhythm" or identifying the "perfect square". Refer to TABLE 1 in this paper. Reading from TABLE 1 SR = 100 (This is because the high price for First American was 35.25. Since 35.25 is less than 250 but greater than 25, SR = 100).

- STEP 3:

Determine the MMI that the square in time will be built from.Let's define two new parameters. The first parameter is RangeMMI. RangeMMI = PriceRange/MMI. RangeMMI measures the price range of First American (or any entity) in units of Murrey Math Intervals (MMI's).

The second parameter is OctaveCount. The purpose of OctaveCount will become evident shortly. The question to answer is, "What MMI should be used for creating the square in time?" This question will be answered by dividing the SR value by 8 until the "appropriate MMI" is found. So:

MMI = MMMI = SR/8 = 100/8 = 12.5

This is a MMMI. Is this the "appropriate MMI"? To answer that question divide PriceRange by this MMI.

RangeMMI = PriceRange/MMI = 7.25/12.5 = 0.58

Now compare RangeMMI to 1.25. If RangeMMI is less than 1.25 then a smaller MMI is needed. This is indeed the case because 0.58 is less than 1.25. Since the first MMI calculated was a MMMI, then the next MMI will be a mMMI. Simply divide the prior MMI by 8 to get the new MMI.

MMI = mMMI = MMMI/8 = 1.5625

This is a mMMI. Is this the "appropriate MMI"? To answer that question divide PriceRange by this latest MMI.

RangeMMI = PriceRange/MMI = 7.25/1.5625 = 4.64

Now compare RangeMMI to 1.25. If RangeMMI is less than 1.25 then a smaller MMI is needed. Since RangeMMI is 4.64 and 4.64 is greater than 1.25 we're done. The correct MMI to use is the mMMI which is 1.5625. (Naturally, in other cases, this process may be repeated further, continuing division by 8, until RangeMMI is greater than 1.25.)

Since we had to divide the perfect square (SR) by 8 two times to arrive at the appropriate MMI (SR/8/8 = 100/8/8 = 12.5/8 = 1.5625) we'll set the value of OctaveCount to be 2. The value of OctaveCount will act as a reminder as we proceed through this example.

Now the question of 1.25. Where did this number come from? Partly trial and error and partly reasoning. Remember that the parameter RangeMMI describes the trading range of First American in units of Murrey Math Intervals. Remember also that the rules for the square in time require that the square be at least 2 MMI's high, and that the square be close to the high and low values of the trading range.

If we used the MMMI to build the square in time for First American the result would have been a square with a height of (2 x 12.5) 25. Because First American has only traded within a range of 7.25 points, this square would not represent First American's' behavior very well. The trading range of First American should approximately fill the square. By choosing a smaller MMI (i.e. mMMI = 1.5625) the result is a square in time that will be 4 MMI's high (RangeMMI = 4.64 which is rounded to 4. The actual height selected for the square in time will be determined in STEP 4). Again, recall the rule that the square must be 2, 4, or 8 MMI's high. (Is the number 1.25 perfect? NO! But, tests conducted on the charts in the Murrey Math book indicate that 1.25 works in nearly all cases).

- STEP 4:

Determine the height of the square in time.In STEP 3 above, we selected the appropriate value for the MMI and calculated the final value of RangeMMI. Given the value of RangeMMI, TABLE 2 may be used to select the actual height of the square in time.

TABLE 2 ALLOWED SQUARES IN TIME: RangeMMI Square in Time is Bounded by These MML's 1.25 < RangeMMI < 3.0 (0,2) (1,3) (2,4) (3,5) (4,6) (5,7) (6,8) (7,1) 3.0 <= RangeMMI < 5.0 (0,4) (2,6) (4,8) (6,2) 5.0 <= RangeMMI < ... (0,8) (4,4)

TABLE 2 was arrived at using trial and error. The results of the C program I had written were compared to the charts in the back of the Murrey Math book. Is TABLE 2 perfect? NO! But it works fairly well. TABLE 2 specifies the allowed upper and lower MML numbers that may be used to create the square in time. Note that once the upper and lower MML's are specified so is the height of the square. TABLE 2 attempts to accomodate Murrey's rules for creating the square in time as well as the exceptions to those rules.

The first row of TABLE 2 addresses squares that are two MMI's high. Note that the exception of having squares in time with odd top and bottom MML's is included.

The second row of TABLE 2 addresses squares that are four MMI's high. Note that these squares are required to lie on even MML's only.

The third row of TABLE 2 addresses squares that are eight MMI's high. Note that these squares are required to lie on (0,8) or (4,4) MML's only. The notation (0,8) means that the bottom of the square will be a 0/8 th's MML and the top of the square will be an 8/8 th's MML.

Continuing with First American, recall that RangeMMI = 4.64. Reading from TABLE 2 we see that the square in time will be 4 MMI's high and will lie on one of the MML combinations (0,4), (2,6), (4,8), or (6,2).

- STEP 5:

Find the bottom of the square in time.The objective of this step is to find the MML that is closest to the low value of First American's trading range (i.e. 28.0). This MML must be a mMML since the MMI we are using is a mMMI (i.e. 1.5625). Actually, the MML we will find in this step is the mMML that is closest to but is less than or equal to First American's low value.

This is fairly simple. To repeat, the MML type must correspond to the MMI type that was selected. We chose an MMI that is a mMMI (i.e. 1.5625), hence, the MML must be a mMML. We now make use of the parameter OctaveCount. In this example, OctaveCount = 2. Since OctaveCount = 2 we will perform 2 divisions by 8 to arrive at the desired MML.

MMI = MMMI = SR/8 = 100/8 = 12.5

The base of the perfect square is 0.0, so subtract the base from the low value of First American's trading range (28.0 - 0.0 = 28.0). Now we find the MMML that is less than or equal to 28.0. In other words, how many MMMI's could we stack up from the base (i.e. 0.0) to get close to (but less than 28.0).

28.0/MMMI = 28.0/12.5 = 2.24 ==> 2 (Since there are no partial MMI's)

0.0 + (2 x 12.5) = 25.0

25.0 is the 2/8 th's MMML that is closest to but less than 28.0Since OctaveCount = 2, this process will be repeated a second time for the mMMI. The only difference is that the base line is the MMML from the prior step. So, once again, subtract the base (i.e. 25) from the low value of First American's trading range (28 - 25 = 3.0). Now find the mMML that is less than or equal to 28.0. In other words, how many mMMI's could we stack up from the base (i.e. 25) to get close to (but less than 28.0).

3.0/mMMI = 3.0/1.5625 = 1.92 ==> 1 (Since there are no partial MMI's)

25 + (1 x 1.5625) = 26.5625

26.5625 is the 1/8 th mMML that is closest to but less than 28.0So, mMML = 26.5625

This mMML is the "best first guess" for the bottom of the square in time. But there is a problem...

- STEP 6:

Find the "Best Square"By the end of STEP 5, a square in time has been defined that will be 4 mMMI's in height and have a base on the 1/8 th mMML = 26.5625. Recall, however, that the rules in TABLE 2 state that a square that is 4 MMI's in height must lie on an even numbered MML. A 1/8 th line is odd. So, two choices are available. Referring to TABLE 2 we can choose either a (0,4) square or a (2,6) square. Which do we choose?

Let's define an error function and choose the square that minimizes this error. The error function is:

Error = abs(HighPrice - TopMML) + abs(LowPrice - BottomMML)

Where:

- HighPrice is the high price of the entity in question

(in this case the high price of First American 35.25) - LowPrice is the low price of the entity in question

(in this case the low price of First American 28.0) - TopMML is the top MML of the square in time
- BottomMML is the bottom MML of the square in time
- abs() means take the absolute value of the quantity in parentheses (i.e. If the quantity in parentheses is negative, ignore the minus sign and make the number positive. For example, abs(-2.12) = abs(2.12) = 2.12.

Having now defined an error function it can now be applied to the problem at hand. The square in time that was determined in STEP 5 has a bottom MML of 26.5625 and a height of 4 mMMI's. The top MML is therefore 26.5625 + (4 x 1.5625) = (26.5625 + 6.25) = 32.8125. Recall, however, this is still the square lying upon the 1/8 mMML (a (1,5) square on odd MML's). We want to use the error function to distinguish between the (0,4) square and the (2,6) square.

The (0,4) square is simply the (1,5) square shifted down by one mMMI and the (2,6) square is the (1,5) square shifted up by one mMMI.

0/8 th mMML = 26.5625 - 1.5625 = 25.0

4/8 th's mMML = 32.8125 - 1.5625 = 31.25So, the bottom of the (0,4) square is 25.0 and the top of the (0,4) square is 31.25.

Likewise for the (2,6) square:

2/8 th's mMML = 26.5625 + 1.5625 = 28.125

6/8 th's mMML = 32.8125 + 1.5625 = 34.375So, the bottom of the (2,6) square is 28.125 and the top of the (2,6) square is 34.375.

Now apply the error function to each square to determine "the best square in time".

Error(0,4) = abs(35.25 - 31.25) + abs(28.0 - 25.0) = 7.0

Error(2,6) = abs(35.25 - 34.375) + abs(28.0 - 28.125) = 1.0

Clearly the (2,6) square is the better fit (has less error). Finally, we have arrived at a square in time that satisfies all of the rules. We can now divide the height of the square by 8 to arrive at the 1/8 lines for the square in time.

(34.375 - 28.125)/8 = 6.25/8 = .78125

So the final square is:

100.0% 34.375 87.5% 33.59375 75.0% 32.8125 62.5% 32.03125 50.0% 31.25 37.5% 30.46875 25.0% 29.6875 12.5% 28.90625 0.0% 28.125

Exactly as seen on Chart #85B of the Murrey Math book.

- HighPrice is the high price of the entity in question

- Refer to Chart #294, the OEX 100 Cash Index in the Murrey Math book.
During the time frame in question (intraday), the OEX traded in a range
with a low of about 433.5 and a high of about 437.5 (the wicks on the
candlesticks are ignored). EXAMPLE 1 above contains all of the detailed
explanations regarding the mechanics of setting up the MML's. The
following examples will just show the basic steps.
- STEP 1:

Calculate PriceRange.PriceRange = 437.5 - 433.5 = 4.0

- STEP 2:

Identify the value of SR (the scale factor).Refer to TABLE 1: SR = 1000

- STEP 3:

Determine the MMI that the square in time will be built from.Octave 1:

- MMI = MMMI = SR/8 = 1000/8 = 125
- RangeMMI = PriceRange/MMI = 4.0/125 = .032
- (RangeMMI is less than 1.25 so divide by 8 again)

Octave 2:

- MMI = mMMI = MMMI/8 = 125/8 = 15.625
- RangeMMI = PriceRange/MMI = 4.0/15.625 = .256
- (RangeMMI is less than 1.25 so divide by 8 again)

Octave 3:

- MMI = bMMI = mMMI/8 = 15.625/8 = 1.953125
- RangeMMI = PriceRange/MMI = 4.0/1.953125 = 2.048
- (RangeMMI is greater than 1.25 so 1.953125 is the desired MMI)

Since the scale factor SR was divided by 8 three times, OctaveCount = 3.

- STEP 4:

Determine the height of the square in time.Refer to TABLE 2: RangeMMI = 2.048 so the height of the square is 2.

- STEP 5:

Find the bottom of the square in time.First Octave:

- 433.5 - 0.0 = 433.5
- 433.5/MMMI = 433.5/125 = 3.468 ==> 3.0
- 0.0 + (3.0 x 125) = 375 (3/8 th's MMML)

Second Octave:

- 433.5 - 375 = 58.5
- 58.5/mMMI = 58.5/15.625 = 3.744 ==> 3.0
- 375 + (3.0 x 15.625) = 421.875 (3/8 th's mMML)

Third Octave:

- 433.5 - 421.875 = 11.625
- 11.625/bMMI = 11.625/1.953125 = 5.952 ==> 5.0
- 421.875 + (5.0 x 1.953125) = 431.640625 (5/8 th's bMML)

This results in a square with a height of 2 bMMI's and a base on the 5/8 th's bMML 431.64.

- STEP 6:

Find the "Best Square"The result of STEP 5 is a square with a height of 2 bMMI's and a base on the 5/8 th's bMML 431.64. Refer to TABLE 2: The likely "best square" is either the (5,7) or the (6,8).

The bottom and top of the (5,7) square are:

Bottom: 431.64

Top: 431.64 + (2 x 1.953125) = 435.55The bottom and top of the (6,8) square are:

Bottom: 431.64 + 1.953125 = 433.59

Top: 435.55 + 1.953125 = 437.50Calculate the fit errors:

- Error(5,7) = abs(437.5 - 435.55) + abs(433.5 - 431.64) = 3.81
- Error(6,8) = abs(437.5 - 437.50) + abs(433.5 - 433.59) = 0.09

The "best square" is the (6,8) square since the (6,8) square has the smallest error.

So the final square is:

100.0% 437.5 87.5% 437.01 75.0% 436.52 62.5% 436.03 50.0% 435.54 37.5% 435.05 25.0% 434.57 12.5% 434.08 0.0% 433.59

- Error(5,7) = abs(437.5 - 435.55) + abs(433.5 - 431.64) = 3.81

- Refer to Chart #300, the Deutsche Mark, in the Murrey Math book.
During the time frame in question (intraday), the Mark traded in a
range with a low of about .7110 and a high of about .7170 (the wicks
on the candlesticks are ignored). The Deutsche Mark is an example of
an entity that trades on a scale that is different from the literal
choice on TABLE 1. The price values for the Deutsche Mark must be
re-scaled so that the appropriate SR value is selected. All of the
Deutsche Mark prices are multiplied by 10,000. So, the trading range
to be used to calculate the square in time is 7110 to 7170. After the
square in time is determined, the resulting MML values may be divided
by 10,000 to produce a square that can be directly compared to the
quoted prices of the Deutsche Mark.
- STEP 1:

Calculate PriceRange.PriceRange = 7170 - 7110 = 60.0

- STEP 2:

Identify the value of SR (the scale factor).Refer to TABLE 1: SR = 10000

- STEP 3:

Determine the MMI that the square in time will be built from.Octave 1:

- MMI = MMMI = SR/8 = 10000/8 = 1250
- RangeMMI = PriceRange/MMI = 60/1250 = .048
- (RangeMMI is less than 1.25 so divide by 8 again)

Octave 2:

- MMI = mMMI = MMMI/8 = 1250/8 = 156.25
- RangeMMI = PriceRange/MMI = 60/156.25 = .384
- (RangeMMI is less than 1.25 so divide by 8 again)

Octave 3:

- MMI = bMMI = mMMI/8 = 156.25/8 = 19.53125
- RangeMMI = PriceRange/MMI = 60/19.53125 = 3.072
- (RangeMMI is greater than 1.25 so 19.53125 is the desired MMI)

Since the scale factor SR was divided by 8 three times, OctaveCount = 3.

- STEP 4:

Determine the height of the square in time.Refer to TABLE 2: RangeMMI = 3.072 so the height of the square is 4.

- STEP 5:

Find the bottom of the square in time.First Octave:

- 7110 - 0.0 = 7110
- 7110/MMMI = 7110/1250 = 5.688 ==> 5.0
- 0.0 + (5.0 x 1250) = 6250 (5/8 th's MMML)

Second Octave:

- 7110 - 6250 = 860
- 860/mMMI = 860/156.25 = 5.504 ==> 5.0
- 6250 + (5.0 x 156.25) = 7031.25 (5/8 th's mMML)

Third Octave:

- 7110 - 7031.25 = 78.75
- 78.75/bMMI = 78.75/19.53125 = 4.032 ==> 4.0
- 7031.25 + (4.0 x 19.53125) = 7109.375 (4/8 th's bMML)

This results in a square with a height of 4 bMMI's and a base on the 4/8 th's bMML 7109.375.

- STEP 6:

Find the "Best Square"The result of STEP 5 is a square with a height of 4 bMMI's and a base on the 4/8 th's bMML 7109.375. Refer to TABLE 2: The likely "best square" is the (4,8). One could, of course, perform a test using the error function and check other squares as was done in the prior examples. A quick visual check of Chart #300, however, shows that the (2,6) or (6,2) squares will result in errors that are greater than the error associated with the (4,8) square.

The bottom and top of the (4,8) square are:

Bottom: 7109.375

Top: 7109.375 + (4 x 19.53125) = 7187.5Since the original price values were multiplied by 10000, the reverse operation is performed to arrive at MML values that match the quoted prices of the Deutsche Mark.

The "corrected" bottom and top of the (4,8) square are:

Bottom: .7109

Top: .7187So the final square is:

100.0% .7187 87.5% .7177 75.0% .7168 62.5% .7158 50.0% .7148 37.5% .7138 25.0% .7129 12.5% .7119 0.0% .7109

- Refer to Chart #298, the 30 Year Bond, in the Murrey Math book.
During the time frame in question (intraday), the 30 Yr Bond traded in
a range with a low of about 102.05 and a high of about 102.75 (the
wicks on the candlesticks are ignored). The 30 Yr Bond is another
example of an entity that trades on a scale that is different from
the literal choice on TABLE 1. The price values for the 30 Yr Bond
must be re-scaled so that the appropriate SR value is selected. All of
the 30 Yr Bond prices are multiplied by 100. So, the trading range
to be used to calculate the square in time is 10205 to 10275. After
the square in time is determined, the resulting MML values may be
divided by 100 to produce a square that can be directly compared to
the quoted prices of the 30 Yr Bond.
- STEP 1:

Calculate PriceRange.PriceRange = 10275 - 10205 = 70.0

- STEP 2:

Identify the value of SR (the scale factor).Refer to TABLE 1: SR = 10000

- STEP 3:

Determine the MMI that the square in time will be built from.Octave 1:

- MMI = MMMI = SR/8 = 10000/8 = 1250
- RangeMMI = PriceRange/MMI = 70/1250 = .056
- (RangeMMI is less than 1.25 so divide by 8 again)

Octave 2:

- MMI = mMMI = MMMI/8 = 1250/8 = 156.25
- RangeMMI = PriceRange/MMI = 70/156.25 = .448
- (RangeMMI is less than 1.25 so divide by 8 again)

Octave 3:

- MMI = bMMI = mMMI/8 = 156.25/8 = 19.53125
- RangeMMI = PriceRange/MMI = 70/19.53125 = 3.584
- (RangeMMI is greater than 1.25 so 19.53125 is the desired MMI)

Since the scale factor SR was divided by 8 three times, OctaveCount = 3.

- STEP 4:

Determine the height of the square in time.Refer to TABLE 2: RangeMMI = 3.584 so the height of the square is 4.

- STEP 5:

Find the bottom of the square in time.First Octave:

- 10205 - 0.0 = 10205
- 10205/MMMI = 10205/1250 = 8.164 ==> 8.0
- 0.0 + (8.0 x 1250) = 10000 (8/8 th's MMML)

Second Octave:

- 10205 - 10000 = 205
- 205/mMMI = 205/156.25 = 1.312 ==> 1.0
- 10000 + (1.0 x 156.25) = 10156.25 (1/8 th's mMML)

Third Octave:

- 10205 - 10156.25 = 48.75
- 48.75/bMMI = 48.75/19.53125 = 2.496 ==> 2.0
- 10156.25 + (2.0 x 19.53125) = 10195.3125 (2/8 th's bMML)

This results in a square with a height of 4 bMMI's and a base on the 2/8 th's bMML 10195.3125.

- STEP 6:

Find the "Best Square"The result of STEP 5 is a square with a height of 4 bMMI's and a base on the 2/8 th's bMML 10195.3125. Refer to TABLE 2: The likely "best square" is the (2,6). One could, of course, perform a test using the error function and check other squares as was done in the prior examples. A quick visual check of Chart #298, however, shows that the (0,4) or (4,8) squares will result in errors that are greater than the error associated with the (2,6) square.

The bottom and top of the (4,8) square are:

Bottom: 10195.3125

Top: 10195.3125 + (4 x 19.53125) = 10273.4375Since the original price values were multiplied by 100, the reverse operation is performed to arrive at MML values that match the quoted prices of the 30 Yr Bond.

The "corrected" bottom and top of the (4,8) square are:

Bottom: 101.95

Top: 102.73So the final square is:

100.0% 102.73 87.5% 102.63 75.0% 102.54 62.5% 102.44 50.0% 102.34 37.5% 102.24 25.0% 102.15 12.5% 102.05 0.0% 101.95

- Refer to Chart #85 (the one at the top of the page), McDonalds, in the
Murrey Math book. During the time frame in question McDonalds traded
in a range with a low of about 26.75 and a high of about 32.75 (the
wicks on the candlesticks are ignored). In EXAMPLES 1 through 4 the
MML's that were determined for the square in time matched the examples
the the Murrey Math book. This example will not match the result in the
Murrey Math book. This will lead to a discussion regarding the
weaknesses of this calculation method.
- STEP 1:

Calculate PriceRange.PriceRange = 32.75 - 26.75 = 6.0

- STEP 2:

Identify the value of SR (the scale factor).Refer to TABLE 1: SR = 100

- STEP 3:

Determine the MMI that the square in time will be built from.Octave 1:

- MMI = MMMI = SR/8 = 100/8 = 12.5
- RangeMMI = PriceRange/MMI = 6/12.5 = .48
- (RangeMMI is less than 1.25 so divide by 8 again)

Octave 2:

- MMI = mMMI = MMMI/8 = 12.5/8 = 1.5625
- RangeMMI = PriceRange/MMI = 6/1.5625 = 3.84
- (RangeMMI is greater than 1.25 so 1.5625 is the desired MMI)

Since the scale factor SR was divided by 8 two times, OctaveCount = 2.

- STEP 4:

Determine the height of the square in time.Refer to TABLE 2: RangeMMI = 3.84 so the height of the square is 4.

- STEP 5:

Find the bottom of the square in time.First Octave:

- 26.75 - 0.0 = 26.75
- 26.75/MMMI = 26.75/12.5 = 2.14 ==> 2.0
- 0.0 + (2.0 x 12.5) = 25.0 (2/8 th's MMML)

Second Octave:

- 26.75 - 25.0 = 1.75
- 1.75/mMMI = 1.75/1.5625 = 1.12 ==> 1.0
- 25.0 + (1.0 x 1.5625) = 26.5625 (1/8 th's mMML)

This results in a square with a height of 4 mMMI's and a base on the 1/8 th's mMML 26.5625

- STEP 6:

Find the "Best Square"The result of STEP 5 is a square with a height of 4 mMMI's and a base on the 1/8 th's mMML 26.5625. Refer to TABLE 2: Two squares are candidates for the "best square", the (0,4) square and the (2,6) square.

The bottom and top of the (0,4) square are:

Bottom: 26.5625 - 1.5625 = 25.0

Top: 25.0 + (4 x 1.5625) = 31.25The bottom and top of the (2,6) square are:

Bottom: 26.5625 + 1.5625 = 28.125

Top: 28.125 + (4 x 1.5625) = 34.375Now apply the error function to each square to determine "the best square in time".

Error(0,4) = abs(32.75 - 31.25) + abs(26.75 - 25.0) = 3.25

Error(2,6) = abs(32.75 - 34.375) + abs(26.75 - 28.125) = 3.0

The (2,6) square has the smallest error and one would expect it to be the square of choice. Refer to Chart #85 in the Murrey Math book. The square selected in the book was the (0,4) square.

- EXAMPLE 5, shown above, illustrates the weakness of the method that has
been described here for calculating the square in time. As mentioned,
the method described was a simple C language computer program that I
wrote to facilitate my understanding of Murrey Math. The weakness is
the fact that the program only gets two pieces of information about
the entity (stock, index, etc.) being traded, the high price and the
low price.
- The high and low price do not provide enough information to
completely describe the behavior of the entity. For example, a stock
may have bounced up and down between the high and low values three or
four times during the timeframe of interest. Alternatively, a stock may
trade in a narrow low range and then shoot up to the high value at the
end of the timeframe of interest. This latter case is what happened
with McDonalds in Chart #85. Since, McDonalds tended to trade in a lower
range, the (0,4) square in time was a better choice than the (2,6)
square in time (which the program selected).
- In short, to be completely accurate in the selection of the square in
time, one needs to consider the entire price history of the entity
being studied. Anyone writing a computer program to calculate the
square in time would need to look at all of the data points in the
chart, not just the high and low values. Given all of the price data,
one could create a more sophisticated error function and a more
sophisticated set of selection rules (i.e. TABLE 2).
- EXAMPLE 5 (McDonalds) illustrates another consideration when selecting
the square in time. In this example, after calculating the fit errors,
one could select between two different squares that had nearly identical
fit results. The fit errors of the two squares are shown here:
Error(0,4) = abs(32.75 - 31.25) + abs(26.75 - 25.0) = 3.25

Error(2,6) = abs(32.75 - 34.375) + abs(26.75 - 28.125) = 3.0 - In a case where one square is about as good as another at representing the behavior of the traded entity, choose the square that has a 0/8 th, 4/8 th, or 8/8 MML as the bottom MML of the square. The reason for this choice is that the lines of the square in time will "map into" the MML's more effectively.

- Recall that Murrey assigns various support and resistance properties to
the 0/8, 1/8, 2/8, 3/8, 4/8, 5/8, 6/8, 7/8, and 8/8 MML's. Recall also
that the square in time is the coordinate system (reference frame) that
the Murrey/Gann trading rules will be applied against. In order for the
Murrey/Gann trading rules to work, the properties of the lines of the
square in time should match the properties of the MML's. More formally
stated, the properties of the 1/8 lines of the square in time should map
identically to the MML's.
- The 0/8, 4/8, and 8/8 MML's are essentially equal to eachother in the
sense that they have the most influence over price support and
resistance. The 0/8, 4/8, and 8/8 MML's are followed by the 2/8 and
the 6/8 MML's, which are in turn followed by the 3/8 and 5/8 MML's.
Finally, the 1/8 and the 7/8 MML's have the least influence over price
support and resistance.
- Looking at TABLE 3, one can see how the 1/8 lines (i.e. 0%, 12.5%,
25%, 37.5%, ... 100%) of the square in time map into MML's.
TABLE 3 # of MMI's in Square 0.0% 12.5% 25% 37.5% 50% 62.5% 75% 87.5% 100% 2 0/8 2/8s 4/8s 6/8s 1/8 2/8s 4/8s 6/8s 2/8 2 1/8 2/8s 4/8s 6/8s 2/8 2/8s 4/8s 6/8s 3/8 2 2/8 2/8s 4/8s 6/8s 3/8 2/8s 4/8s 6/8s 4/8 2 3/8 2/8s 4/8s 6/8s 4/8 2/8s 4/8s 6/8s 5/8 ** 2 4/8 2/8s 4/8s 6/8s 5/8 2/8s 4/8s 6/8s 6/8 2 5/8 2/8s 4/8s 6/8s 6/8 2/8s 4/8s 6/8s 7/8 2 6/8 2/8s 4/8s 6/8s 7/8 2/8s 4/8s 6/8s 8/8 2 7/8 2/8s 4/8s 6/8s 8/8 2/8s 4/8s 6/8s 1/8 4 0/8 4/8s 1/8 4/8s 2/8 4/8s 3/8 4/8s 4/8 4 2/8 4/8s 3/8 4/8s 4/8 4/8s 5/8 4/8s 6/8 4 4/8 4/8s 5/8 4/8s 6/8 4/8s 7/8 4/8s 8/8 4 6/8 4/8s 7/8 4/8s 8/8 4/8s 1/8 4/8s 2/8 8 0/8 1/8 2/8 3/8 4/8 5/8 6/8 7/8 8/8 8 2/8 3/8 4/8 5/8 6/8 7/8 8/8 1/8 2/8 8 4/8 5/8 6/8 7/8 8/8 1/8 2/8 3/8 4/8 8 6/8 7/8 8/8 1/8 2/8 3/8 4/8 5/8 6/8

- A simple example will help illustrate how to read TABLE 3. Suppose one
had a stock trading in a range of 50 to 75. The obvious choice for the
square in time would be the row marked by **. The price of 50 lies on
a 4/8 th's MMML and the price of 75 lies on a 6/8 th's MMML. This makes
a (4,6) square in time with a height of 2 MMMI's the best choice.
- Now the MMMI bounded by the 50 and 62.5 MMML's can of course be divided
by 8 to yield the sub-octave mMML's and mMMI's. The MMMI bounded by the
62.5 and 75 MMML's can likewise be divided into its mMML's and mMMI's.
- The bottom of this square in time (0.0% line) lies on the 50 MMML
(a 4/8 th's MMML). The top of this square in time (100% line) lies on
the 75 MMML (a 6/8 th's line). The 50% line of this square in time lies
on the 62.5 MMML (a 5/8 th's MMML). The remaining lines of the square
in time (12.5%, 25%, 37.5%, 62.5%, 75%, and 87.5%) lie on 2/8, 4/8, and
6/8 mMML's from the sub-octave (In fact the "s" that appears in the
table entries denotes sub-octave).
- All of this has been presented simply to point out the fact that squares
in time with a height of 4 or 8 MMI's tend to have 0%, 50%, and 100%
lines that lie on MML's with similar price support and resistance
properties. Hence, if one can place the base of a square in time on
a 0/8, 4/8, or 8/8 MML (espcially if the square has a height of 4 or
8 MMI's) one gets a better mapping of properties.
- How much one should concern oneself with this issue of mappings is problematic. To really answer this question would require a formal quantinization of the support/resistance properties of MMML's, mMML's, and bMML's with respect to eachother. This would be a great research project for ambitious individuals with time on their hands.

- The prior discussion on the mapping of MML properties provides a nice
lead into this topic (the Gann Minor 50%, 19 cent and 39 cent lines).
These lines are simply the result of the subdividing the MMI currently
being used for the square in time.
- Consider a stock trading between 50 and 62.5. Referring to TABLE 1, the
scale factor, SR = 100. The square in time would be composed of eight
mMMI's. Each mMMI would have a height of 1.5625 (i.e. MMMI=100/8 = 12.5,
and mMMI = MMMI/8 = 12.5/8 = 1.5625). Now suppose one of the mMMI's as
subdivided into its eight bMMI's (bMMI = mMMI/8 = 1.5625/8 = .1953125).
One can now see that the 1/8 th bMML is the 19 cent line
(i.e. $ 0.1953125 is rounded off to 19 cents). Likewise the 39 cent line
is just the 2/8 th's bMML (i.e. 2 x 19 cents = 39 cents). What Murrey
refers to as the Gann 50% line is merely the 4/8 th's
(4 x 19 cents = 78 cents) bMML.
- Since the 19 cent, 38 cent, and Gann 50% lines, are simply 1/8 th,
2/8 th's, and 4/8 th's lines, one can assign the appropriate support
and resistance properties to these lines. One may then use these lines
to evaluate price behavior just as one would use any other 1/8 th,
2/8 th's or 4/8 th's line.
- If one were to create a square in time for an entity with a scale factor (SR) other than 100 (e.g. 1000), one would apply the same logic to the bMML's. In this case the 1/8th bMML would be 1.953125, the 2/8 th's would be 3.90625 and the 4/8 th's line (Gann minor 50% line) would be 7.8125.

- The term "square in time" has been used liberally throughout the prior
discussions without any specific statements regarding time. All that
has been addressed so far is the vertical price dimension of the square
in time. This is justified since the process of identifying the MML's
and MMI's requires a little more effort than the divisions of time.
- The fact that less discussion has been devoted to the time dimension
should not be interpreted to mean that the time dimension is any less
important than the price dimension. Time and price are equally
important.
- Time is divided up in a very reasonable (and practical manner). The
year is broken into quarters of 64 trading days each. Note that 64 is
a power of 2 (i.e. (2 x 2 x 2) x (2 x 2 x 2) = 8 x 8 = 64). An interval
of 64 can easily be subdivided into half intervals. Note that 8 (the
number of vertical intervals in the square in time) is also a power of
2 (i.e. (2 x 2 x 2) = 8). Thus, the square in time can easily be scaled
in both the price (vertical) and the time (horizontal) dimensions simply
by multiplying or dividing by 2 (very clever). Consider also that a year
consists of four quarters. Four is also a power of 2. So, a square in
time based upon a year long scale can also easily be subdivided.
- The ability to subdivide the square in time gives the square in time
the ability to evolve as an entity trades through time. The square in
time acts as a reference frame (coordinate system) that can adjust
itself as needed. As an entity reaches new high or low prices, the
reference frame can be expanded by doubling the square in both the
price and time dimensions. Alternatively, if one wishes to look at
the price of an entity during some short time frame one can simply
halve the square in both the price and time dimensions (resulting in
a quarter square). This halving and doubling may be carried out to
whatever degree is practical (i.e. Practical within the limits of how
much price and time data may be subdivided. A daily chart can't be
subdivided into intraday prices or time). Refer back to the description
of the rectangular fractal at the beginning of this paper.
- The argument for breaking the year into quarters intuitively makes
sense. The business world (including mutual fund managers) is measured
on a quarterly basis. Each of the four quarters roughly correspond to
the four seasons of the year which drive weather and agriculture
(as well as commodity contracts). Clearly humans are geared to a
quarterly cycle.
- Murrey resets the time = 0 point on an annual basis. This is done the
first week of October and corresponds to the day of the U.S. Treasury's
monthly and quarterly bond auctions (This year 10/8/97). Once the
time = 0 point is set one may simply count off daily increments of 4,
8, 16, 32, or 64 days relative to the time = 0 point to set the
desired square in time (or 256 days if one wants an annual chart).
- At this point one should realize that specifying a time interval is
critical to setting up the square in time. In the above examples that
were used to illustrate the selection of MML's and MMI's the time
frame was implied. All that was specified in the examples was the
price range that the entity traded at. Naturally, one has to ask the
question, "The price range it traded at during what time frame?". One
will probably want to set up the square in time for annual and quarterly
time frames. The quarterly square in time will probably be subdivided
into a 16 day time frame for intermediate term trading.
- One would need intraday data to set up an intraday square in time. The
time coordinate of an intraday chart is simply divided into 4 or 8
uniform intervals. The intraday MML's and MMI's are then set up using
the intraday trading range. If one is looking at a weekly chart then a
quarter should consist of 13 weeks.
- Another key use of the time dimension is estimating when a trend in price will reverse itself. The horizontal MML's of a square in time represent points of support and resistance in the price dimension. The vertical lines that divide the square in the time dimension represent likely trend reversal points. My own personal studies, done on the DJIA, showed that on average the DJIA has a turning point every 2.5 days. Since we know that the market does not move in a straight line we would expect to see frequent trend reversals. Murrey uses the vertical time lines (1/8 th lines) in the square to signal trend reversals.

- The circles of conflict are a by product of the properties of the
horizontal MML's that divide price and vertical time lines (VTL's)
that divide time. MML's represent points of support and resistance.
VTL's represent reversal points. Put it all together and the result
is the "circles of conflict".
- Consider a square in time divided into eight price intervals and eight
time intervals. The five circles of conflict are centered on the
2/8 th's, 4/8 th's, and the 6/8 th's MML's and the 2/8 th's, 4/8 th's,
and 6/8 th's VTL's. Recall that prices spend 40% of their time between
the 3/8 th's and 5/8 th's MML's. Recall also that the 2/8 th's,
4/8 th's, and 6/8 th's MML's represent strong points of support and
resistance. If we can assume that the 2/8 th's, 4/8 th's, and 6/8 th's
VTL's represent strong points of reversal, we can expect that in slow
trendless markets that prices will be deflected around the circles of
conflict. In a fast up or down market prices will move through the
circles quickly since the price momentum exists to penetrate support
and resistance lines.
- The circles of conflict are an example of the value of a standard reference frame (square in time) in divining market action. This reference frame and its associated geometry and rules can be applied to all price-time scales in all markets.

- Just a few more comments regarding the square in time. As has been
stated the square in time is a scalable reference frame that can
be applied to all price-time scales in all markets. At the beginning
of this paper the price-time charts that describe the trading history
of an entity were described as fractals (self similar geometry). It
was stated that if one had a collection of charts of entities from
different markets and different time frames one could not distinguish
one chart from the other without the charts being labeled.
- The square in time makes the labels on charts unnecessary. Rather
than thinking of charts as representing dollars (or points) vs. days
(or weeks, minutes, etc.) one can now think of charts as representing
1/8 th's of price vs. 1/8 th's of time. All of the rules associated
with the MML's and VTL's and all of the associated trendlines are
carried right along with the square in time. One may use this
scalable reference frame (square in time) to construct any of Gann's
trendlines. Since the trend lines are tied to the square in time
geometry so are any of the rules that are associated with the trend
lines.
- Gann used various lines for characterizing price-time behavior.
These lines may be summarized in TABLE 4 and FIGURE 4.
- The various momentum lines are summarized in TABLE 5 and FIGURE 4.
- The column labeled Line Trend specifies whether the line slopes
upwards (+) or downwards (-) (moving left to right in time).
- The column labeled Line Slope measures the rate of change of the
line (# of 8th's in price):(# of 8th's in time).
TABLE 4: TRENDLINES Line Line Points Forming the Line: Trend Slope Point 1 Point 2 + 8:8 O X + 8:7 O G' + 8:6 O F' + 8:5 O E' + 8:4 O D' + 8:3 O C' + 8:2 O B' + 8:1 O A' + 1:8 O Q + 2:8 O R + 3:8 O S + 4:8 O T + 5:8 O U + 6:8 O V + 7:8 O W - 8:8 O' P - 8:7 O' G - 8:6 O' F - 8:5 O' E - 8:4 O' D - 8:3 O' C - 8:2 O' B - 8:1 O' A - 1:8 O' W - 2:8 O' V - 3:8 O' U - 4:8 O' T - 5:8 O' S - 6:8 O' R - 7:8 O' Q TABLE 5: MOMENTUM LINES Line Line Points Forming the Line: Trend Slope Point 1 Point 2 + 1:1 G Q + 2:2 F R + 3:3 E S + 4:4 D T + 5:5 C U + 6:6 B V + 7:7 A W + 8:8 O X + 7:7 G' Q' + 6:6 F' R' + 5:5 E' S' + 4:4 D' T' + 3:3 C' U' + 2:2 B' V' + 1:1 A' W' - 1:1 G' W - 2:2 F' V - 3:3 E' U - 4:4 D' T - 5:5 C' S - 6:6 B' R - 7:7 A' Q - 8:8 O' P - 7:7 G W' - 6:6 F V' - 5:5 E U' - 4:4 D T' - 3:3 C S' - 2:2 B R' - 1:1 A Q' O' A' B' C' D' E' F' G' ------|------|------|------|------|------|------|------- X 8/8 | | | W' | W 7/8 | | | V' | V 6/8 | | | U' | U 5/8 | | | T' | T 4/8 | | | S' | S 3/8 | | | R' | R 2/8 | | | Q' | Q 1/8 | | ------|------|------|------|------|------|------|------- P 0/8 O A B C D E F G 0/8 1/8 2/8 3/8 4/8 5/8 6/8 7/8 8/8 TIME ===> FIGURE 4

- As we all know, traded markets do not move in a straight line. The
prices zig and zag. A fast large movement in one direction is usually
followed by a reversal as traders take profit from that movement.
- Murrey provides tables that list the probability of certain price
movements for stocks in terms of square in time MMI's. For example,
one table is listed for stocks trading over 50 and less than 100.
(This is for price movements over a short time span (i.e. the MMI for
the square in time is the 1.5625 mMMI). The table is listed here:
1/8 th + .78 cents 50% of the time = 2.34 2/8 ths (3.125) 75% of the time = 3.12 3/8 ths (4.68) 85% of the time = 4.68 4/8 ths (6.25) 90% of the time = 6.25 5/8 ths (7.81) 95% of the time = 7.81

- The way to read an entry in this table is as follows (row 3):
If a stock moves up or down in price (within the square in time)
by 4.68 then the probability that it will reverse direction is 85%.
- Another way to look at it is:

If a stock moves up or down in price (within the square in time) by 4.68 then the probability that it will continue to move in the same direction is 15% (100% - 85%). - This table could also be re-written in terms of MMI's:
(This assumes that the scale factor (SR) for the square
in time is 100)
If Price Moves By: The probability of reversal is: (1 x mMMI) + (4 x bMMI) 50% (2 x mMMI) 75% (3 x mMMI) 85% (4 x mMMI) 90% (5 x mMMI) 95%

- The message here is that large fast price movements are short lived. Take profit and move on to the next trade.

- GANN Trading Rules
- Japanese Candlestick Formations

created by Bonnie Lee Hill,

bonniehill@verizon.net

last modified on October 28, 2010

`URL: http://mysite.verizon.net/bonniehill/pages.aux/murrey/TKnotes.1.html`