Day # | 4th Quarter, 2008 |
1st Quarter, 2009 |
2nd Quarter, 2009 |
3rd Quarter, 2009 |
4th Quarter, 2009 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | Wed, Oct 8 | Mon, Jan 5 | Tue, Apr 7 | Thu, Jul 9 | Fri, Oct 2 |
4 | Tue, Oct 14 | Fri, Jan 9 | Tue, Apr 14 | Wed, Jul 15 | Thu, Oct 8 |
8 | Mon, Oct 20 | Thu, Jan 15 | Mon, Apri 20 | Tue, Jul 21 | Wed, Oct 14 |
12 | Fri, Oct 24 | Thu, Jan 22 | Fri, Apr 24 | Mon, Jul 27 | Tue, Oct 20 |
16 | Thu, Oct 30 | Wed, Jan 28 | Thu, Apri 30 | Fri, Jul 31 | Mon, Oct 26 |
20 | Wed, Nov 5 | Tue, Feb 3 | Wed, May 6 | Thu, Aug 6 | Fri, Oct 30 |
24 | Tue, Nov 11 | Mon, Feb 9 | Tue, May 12 | Wed, Aug 12 | Thu, Nov 5 |
28 | Mon, Nov 17 | Fri, Feb 13 | Mon, May 18 | Tue, Aug 18 | Wed, Nov 11 |
32 | Fri, Nov 21 | Fri, Feb 20 | Fri, May 22 | Mon, Aug 24 | Tue, Nov 17 |
36 | Fri, Nov 28 | Thu, Feb 26 | Fri, May 29 | Fri, Aug 28 | Mon, Nov 23 |
40 | Thu, Dec 4 | Wed, Mar 4 | Thu, Jun 4 | Thu, Sept 3 | Mon, Nov 30 |
44 | Wed, Dec 10 | Tue, Mar 10 | Wed, Jun 10 | Thu, Sep 10 | Fri, Dec 4 |
48 | Tue, Dec 16 | Mon, Mar 16 | Tue, Jun 16 | Wed, Sep 16 | Thu, Dec 10 |
52 | Mon, Dec 22 | Fri, Mar 20 | Mon, Jun 22 | Tue, Sep 22 | Wed, Dec 16 |
56 | Mon, Dec 29 | Thu, Mar 26 | Fri, Jun 26 | Mon, Sep 28 | Tue, Dec 22 |
60 | Mon, Jan 5 | Wed, Apr 1 | Thu, Jul 2 | Fri, Oct 2 | Tue, Dec 29 |
64 | Fri, Jan 9 | Tue, Apr 7 | Thu, Jul 9 | Mon, Jan 4 |
The Table for 2008 states that the start of the Fourth Quarter is October 8, 2008. This suggests that the 2009 First Quarter starts on Friday, January 9, 2009. |
An S&P chart made by the Murrey Math software on November 28, 2008, shows that the Fourth Quarter was reset to Friday, October 3, 2008. This date indicates a "correction" of 7 days (not the normal 4 days) at the end of the 2008 Fourth Quarter. A correction of 7 days would place the 2009 First Quarter at Tuesday, January 6, 2009. |
In 1993-1998, THM started the First Quarter a little after January 4th (perihelion). THM shows a preference for starting a new quarter on a Monday or Friday. |
The table for the 2008 Fourth Quarter was quite good at picking reversal dates. Therefore, I will stay with its pattern, and set the start of the 2009 First Quarter on Monday, January 5, 2009. |
This represents a "correction" of 8 days. If you wish to use a "correction" of 7 days, then add one trading day to the date listed in the table. For instance, "Mon, Jan 5" would be changed to "Tue, Jan 6". |
Please email me if you find proof of the "official" start of the 2008 Fourth Quarter. |
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URL: http://mysite.verizon.net/bonniehill/pages.aux/murrey/reversal.2009.html