March 2005PriceFinder Study:
CCI 133 Bands by Howard
Arrington Perhaps the most significant
enhancement to the Ensign Windows program in 2005 will be the
PriceFinder™ technology that can be used with any study.
PriceFinder is a selection in the Design Your Own™ (DYO) study
feature. It is being used on the following chart to indicate
the price that would cause the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) study
to cross above 133 or below -133.
The upper green line is the price that would cause CCI to cross
above 133. Shortly after 14:00 on the chart the CCI crossed
above the upper green line, and the CCI in the sub-window has moved
above the 133 grid line.
And, every time the price trades below the lower red line, CCI is
below the -133 grid line. The green and red lines create
a visual channel that is useful in knowing what price it would take
to cause CCI to cross either of these significant grid levels.
The CCI 133 Band lines are created with these Design
Your Own study parameters.
The PriceFinder™ needs a Boolean flag to know what
condition is to be tested. Line A is selecting the CCI
study condition of being above the 133 grid level. This
Boolean flag is either True or False and is saved in Global Variable
[1]. Line B is the powerful PriceFinder which will plot
in green the price that will cause the [1] flag to change
states. If the CCI study is below 133, what higher price will
cause CCI to cross above 133. If the CCI study is above 133,
PriceFinder will find the price that will cause the CCI study to
cross below 133.
Lines C and D are the implementation for plotting the
red line which is the price that will cause the CCI study to cross
the -133 grid level. Line C is the test that Line D will
find the price which causes the test condition to change states.
The [B] and [D] labels on Line B and Line D cause the
PriceFinder prices to show on the chart at the end of the
lines. The CCI study is currently above the -133 grid line, so
the red line value of 1205.25 is the price that ES #F would have to
go to on the 3 minute bar to cause CCI to cross -133. As long
as ES #F trades above 1205.25, the CCI value will remain above
-133. This is very useful information to be armed with when
CCI is used is making trading decisions.
Although the example used 133 and -133 as the levels
to test for, any CCI levels could have been the test conditions and
PriceFinder would have plotted the appropriate channel bands.
The tool is totally flexible. Even complex multi-study
consensus conditions can be the Boolean flag that PriceFinder is
asked to find the answer for.
A template named CCI-133-Bands can be downloaded from
the Ensign web site using the Internet Services form.
PriceFinder Study:
RSI Bands by Howard
Arrington This example is similar to the CCI 133
Bands example, but will illustrate plotting Relative Strength Index
(RSI) Bands to indicate when RSI is above 70 or below
30. Though the chart has an RSI study present on
it for the DYO Boolean tests, it is not being shown in this
example. I want the reader to get a new perspective about RSI
by looking at just the RSI Bands.
Line A is the test for RSI being above 70. Line
B plots in green the price that would cause RSI to be at the 70
level.
Line C is the test for RSI being below 30. Line
D plots in red the price that would cause RSI to be at the 30
level.
Line E is a quick way to plot a line at the mid-point
of the red and green lines. Therefore, this line shows whether
RSI is above or below zero. The candles shown in the example
are Ensign's new Rockets™
format introduced in last month's newsletter.
A template named RSI-Bands can be downloaded from the
Ensign web site using the Internet Services form.
PriceFinder Study:
Bollinger PriceFinder™
Bands by Howard
Arrington This example does something a little
bit different. A Bollinger Bands study on the chart
plots the green lines. The PriceFinder feature plots the blue
lines to show the price where the bar high will cross the upper
Bollinger Band and where the bar low will cross the lower Bollinger
Band.
An initial reaction is to think the green and the blue
lines should be the same. But not so, says the wise
man. As the price moves towards a Bollinger Band line, the
Bollinger Band line will move outward because of increased
volatility. For example, the price is currently at
1206.75. If the price were to go lower to touch the
lower green Bollinger line, the green line will move lower in the
process. The price will catch the lower Bollinger line at a
price of 1205.25. This illustrates the power of PriceFinder to
perform the complex math involved in finding the answer.
Line A is the test for Line B to find the price
for. Note that the Line B selection is to find the price that
makes the Flag True. This is a bit different than the prior
examples where the PriceFinder selection was finding a price which
made the flag state change.
The reason for using the selection of 'PriceFinder
makes Flag True' is because once the High is above the Upper Band,
there is no price that will undo the High. Lower prices
will not change the High! Therefore, it is only logical
to employ PriceFinder when the High is below the Upper Band to find
the higher price that will make the High catch the Upper Band.
Notice that when the High is already above the Upper Band that the
PriceFinder does not plot a line. This is why there are breaks
in the PriceFinder study line. The blue lines break when the
Flags being tested are already True.
A template named Bollinger-Bands can be downloaded
from the Ensign web site using the Internet Services form.
DYO Study:
Volatility Bands by Howard Arrington The Volatility Bands
calculate support and resistance levels for tomorrow's price
action. They are excellent for daily areas for support and
resistance and frequently are the location for reversals.
The formula for the Volatility Band uses a one day Historical
Volatility by multiplying the Historical Volatility by the square
root of 1 divided by 365, which is 0.05234.
VB Delta = Historical Volatility * Sqrt( 1 / 365) *
Daily Closing Price * Size Factor
Upper Band (Resistance) = Close Price + VB Delta
Lower Band (Support) = Close Price - VB
Delta
The Volatility Bands used for market observation are those with a
Size Factor of: 1.0, 1.28, 1.5, and 2.0.
This study can be implemented in Ensign Windows using the Design
Your Own™ study feature.
Line A calculates the 30 bar Historical Volatility and stores
this value in Global Variable [1]. Typical value is 17.50.
Line B adjusts the HV decimal placement by dividing by 100 and
resaves HV in [1]. [1] = HV * 0.01
Line C multiplies HV by the 0.05234 factor, which is the square
root of 1 / 365. Result is saved in [2].
Line D calculates the VB Delta = Close * HV * 0.05234. This
VB Delta is stored in [3].
Line E multiplies the VB Delta by one of the Size Factors, which
in this example is using 1.50. Result is saved in
[4].
Line F and G plot one pair of Volatility Bands for the VB Delta
in [4] by adding it and subtracting it from the Close.
Line H, I and J plot another pair of Volatility Bands for a Size
Factor of 2.
The Volatility Band values calculated today are used as Support
and Resistance levels the following day.
A template named VolatilityBands can be downloaded
from the Ensign web site using the Internet Services form.
DYO Study:
Ergodic Candle Oscillator by Howard Arrington The Ergodic Candle
Oscillator is "a double smoothed ratio of the difference between the
Close (C) and Open (O) of each bar, and the difference between the
High (H) and Low (L) prices for each bar" originally created by
William Blau. This oscillator shows the trend well and is not
affected by opening gaps.
The formula for this study is: ECO =
(MOV(MOV(C-O,5,E))26,E) / MOV(MOV(H-L,5,E))26,E))*100
This study can be implemented in Ensign Windows using the Design
Your Own™ study feature.
Line A calculates the spread between the Close and the
Open. The -[$O] Number field entry subtracts the
Open.
Line B calculates a 5 period exponential average of
the Line A Close-Open spread.
Line C calculates a 26 period exponential average of
the Line B average. This numerator result is saved in GV
[1].
Line D returns the Bar range, which is the High - Low
spread.
Lines E and F accomplish the double average of the
Range, similar to the Line B and C steps. Result is saved in
[2].
Line G does the division of the numerator in [1] by
the denominator in [2] and multiplies by 100. This is the
ECO.
A template named ErgodicCandle can be downloaded from
the Ensign web site using the Internet Services form.
DYO Study:
Average True Range Channel by Howard Arrington A technique published
in Futures Magazine is used by Joe Duffy for identifying Support and
Resistance levels. Joe calls the indicator the
3x5ATR.
Click here for more information: www.futuresmag.com/library/daytrade97/day7.html .
The method of calculation for this indicator is:
- Add up the true ranges for the last five days and divide by
five. This is the 5ATR.
- Calculate a three-day simple moving average of the highs and a
three-day simple moving average of the lows.
- To calculate the 3x5ATR for potential resistance, add the 5ATR
to the three-day moving average of the lows. To calculate the
3x5ATR for support, subtract the 5ATR from the three-day average
of the highs.
This study can be implemented in Ensign Windows using the Design
Your Own™ study feature.
Line A calculates the 3 bar simple average of the High
and saves the result in Global Variable (GV) [1].
Line B calculates the 5 bar simple average of the
Average True Range and saves the result in GV [2].
Line C calculates the Support level by subtracting
5ATR from 3High. The result is plotted in Blue as the lower
band.
Line D calculates the 3 bar simple average of the Low
and saves the result in GV [1].
Line E calculates the Resistance level by adding 5ATR
to the 3Low. The result is plotted in Blue as the upper band.
A template named 3x5ATR can be downloaded from the
Ensign web site using the Internet Services form.
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